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Can Markets Stay Resilient Amid Geopolitical Shocks and Economic Crosscurrents? 

17.06.25 05:33 AM - By Cullen - Comment(s)

As we enter the third week of June 2025, financial markets face a complex mix of geopolitical instability and economic uncertainty. The Israel-Iran conflict has played havoc on oil prices, while Federal Reserve officials navigate between persistent inflation pressures and signs of labor market softe...

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Federal Reserve policy,  two-speed economy,  BBB bill economic impact,  CPI data 2025,  Fed communications,  Fed hawkish stance,  Fed interest rate outlook,  Israel-Iran conflict,  June 2025 market update,  Middle East crisis 2025,  Strait of Hormuz tension,  Tehran nuclear escalation,  Tel Aviv missile strike,  U.S. GDP divergence,  U.S. labor market softening,  bond yield sensitivity,  central bank response,  commodity price surge,  defensive sector stocks,  economic crosscurrents,  energy market shock,  energy price inflation,  equity market response,  fiscal stimulus impact,  geopolitical investing strategy,  geopolitical market volatility,  global supply chain risks,  global trade disruption,  inflation pressures,  investor risk appetite,  macroeconomic uncertainty,  monetary policy tightening,  oil supply disruption,  real assets investment,  safe-haven assets,  stagflation risk,  two-track recovery
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The BBB and a Potential 2-Speed Economy: What Does It Mean for the Economy and Stocks?

14.06.25 06:28 PM - By Cullen - Comment(s)
The BBB bill fuels a two-speed economy—boosting Wall Street while straining Main Street. Discover winners, risks, and smart investor moves in this high-impact macro breakdown trusted by top strategists.
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BBB bill,  Gilded Age wealth gap,  K-shaped recovery,  Medicaid funding,  Reagan tax cuts,  U.S. tax cuts,  Wall Street vs. Main Street,  clean energy cuts,  defense sector stocks,  electric vehicle tax credits,  energy costs,  food price riots,  fossil fuel subsidies,  healthcare affordability,  import taxes,  income inequality,  inflation impact,  interest rate pressure,  market volatility,  rising tariffs,  short-term bonds,  solar energy policy,  two-speed economy,  AI technology investments,  economic policy impact,  economic positioning frameworks,  global diversification,  hedging strategies,  historical policy analogs,  infrastructure stocks,  institutional investor strategy,  ong-term growth risk,  premium macro research,  social instability risk,  stock market risks
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What Should Investors Watch In This Week’s CPI, PPI, and Sentiment Data?

10.06.25 10:31 AM - By Cullen - Comment(s)
Brace for a pivotal week: CPI, PPI, and sentiment data are set to move markets, test Fed expectations, and unlock portfolio opportunities. Stay ahead—your macro edge starts with these three signals.
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CPI,  Consumer Sentiment,  Fed rate cuts,  Federal Reserve policy,  June 2025 Consumer Sentiment,  May CPI Report,  May PPI Report,  PPI,  U.S. macroeconomic releases,  University of Michigan Sentiment,  bond market volatility,  consumer confidence,  consumer inflation,  core CPI, headline CPI,  core goods inflation,  disinflation,  economic indicators,  front-end yield curve,  growth equities,  inflation data,  inflation expectations,  inflation indicators,  inflation outlook,  inflationary pressure,  long-duration assets,  long-term inflation expectations,  macroeconomic volatility,  producer inflation,  services inflation,  shelter inflation,  short-term inflation expectations,  soft landing narrative,  tariff impact,  yield curve repricing,  rate-sensitive sectors
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How Does the House Version of the “Big Beautiful Bill” Rewrite the U.S. Economic Playbook?

06.06.25 06:26 PM - By Cullen - Comment(s)
The Big Beautiful Bill reshapes U.S. fiscal policy with major tax cuts, defense boosts, and social spending cuts, driving inflation risks, market shifts, and sector winners in energy, defense, and finance.
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Big Beautiful Bill,  BBB economic impact,  U.S. fiscal policy 2025,  U.S. tax cuts 2025,  Congressional Budget Office deficit,  Trump-era tax cuts,  U.S. deficit forecast,  border security funding,  clean energy incentives rollback,  defense budget increase,  social program cuts,  Treasury yields surge,  U.S. dollar weakening,  fossil fuel industry benefits,  inflation risks 2025,  renewable energy tax credits,  FAA modernization investment,  Medicaid and SNAP cuts,  U.S. debt to GDP ratio,  economic inequality U.S.,  electric vehicle tax credit repeal,  inflation hedges gold and crypto,  interest rate forecast 2025,  investment opportunities 2025,  military spending 2025,  student loan forgiveness elimination,  value stocks energy sector,  ESG investment risks,  Reagan tax reforms,  Trump trade tariffs impact,  U.S. economic growth forecast,  U.S. social welfare cuts,  historical fiscal policy analogs,  market volatility U.S.,  post-WWII reindustrialization
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What's the state of the market - June 1, 2025

02.06.25 05:19 PM - By Cullen - Comment(s)

Calisade Capital is an asset management firm that delivers institutional advisory services and weekly insights to the retail market via its Calisade Digests. Calisade focuses on creating alpha through robust macro, fundamental, technical, and sentiment research.

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